US State Department To Investors: Think Twice About Nigeria, Risk Of Detention, Port Delays, Corruption High

The United States Department of State has identified insecurity, corruption, port inefficiencies and regulatory uncertainty as major obstacles to investment in Nigeria, warning that these challenges continue to weigh on the country’s business environment despite signs of macroeconomic stability.

In its ‘2026 Investment Climate Statements on Nigeria’, the department said the country’s investment landscape has been shaped by the outcomes of “painful but necessary” structural reforms introduced by the President Bola Tinubu administration, according to Arise News.

The report said the removal of fuel subsidies and liberalisation of the foreign exchange market initially triggered significant economic volatility, although indicators in early 2026 suggested some stabilisation.

However, it warned that security concerns, administrative bottlenecks and the social consequences of economic reforms remain significant considerations for foreign investors.

“The security environment is a primary variable which gives pause to potential investors,” the report said.

It noted that although attacks on oil infrastructure in the Niger Delta have decreased, oil theft and illegal bunkering persist.

“In the North, the expansion of terrorist and ‘bandit’ groups continues to degrade the climate for agribusiness and mining,” it added.

The report also raised concerns about the treatment of foreign business executives in regulatory disputes, citing the detention of Tigran Gambaryan, a US citizen and Binance executive, for nearly eight months in 2024.

“Furthermore, the use of coercive exit bans and detentions — highlighted by the high-profile nearly eight-month detention in 2024 of U.S. citizen Binance employee Tigran Gambaryan — serves as a cautionary note for foreign executives regarding the risks of aggressive regulatory friction,” it said.

Port Inefficiency As Hidden Tax

The department identified inefficiencies at Nigerian seaports as another major challenge for businesses, particularly those dependent on imports and exports.

“Port inefficiency remains a significant ‘hidden tax’ on investment,” the report said.

It noted that the Lekki Deep Seaport handled $9.6 billion in trade in 2025 and operated at 50 percent capacity, helping to ease pressure on older facilities. However, it said traditional ports in Apapa and Tin Can Island continue to experience cargo dwell times exceeding 20 days because of manual examinations.

“To address this, the government launched phase one of the National Single Window (NSW) on March 27, 2026,” the report said.

The platform is designed to integrate trade agencies, including the Nigeria Customs Service, NAFDAC and the Standards Organisation of Nigeria, into a single digital workflow. The initiative targets a reduction in cargo dwell time to fewer than seven days and the elimination of 80 percent of manual paperwork by the end of 2026.

FDI Still Modest Despite Capital Inflows

The report acknowledged an increase in capital inflows but said the figures did not necessarily reflect a corresponding surge in long-term investment.

“Nigeria’s capital importation reached $21 billion in October 2025, a large increase from 2024. However, 92 percent was made up of foreign portfolio investment (‘hot money’) seeking high interest rates, while actual foreign direct investment (FDI) in physical infrastructure remained modest,” it said.

It said US foreign direct investment in Nigeria reached $7.9 billion by the end of 2024, representing a 25 percent increase from the previous year, while bilateral trade between Nigeria and the United States reached $14.8 billion in 2025.

The report said Nigeria continues to permit full foreign ownership in most sectors, subject to restrictions in certain industries and licensing requirements.

On the economy, the State Department noted GDP growth rose from 3.3 percent in 2023 to 4.1 percent in 2024 before easing slightly to four percent in 2025, while the Central Bank reported foreign exchange reserves of $50.45 billion in February 2026, a 13-year peak.

Headline inflation reached 34.8 percent in late 2024 before falling to 15.15 percent by December 2025 following CPI rebasing, with food inflation at 10.84 percent in December 2025.

It however warned that “The fiscal correction came at a high social cost,” noting that removal of fuel subsidies caused petrol prices to “quintuple from 2023 levels,” contributing to an estimated national poverty rate of 63 percent in 2025, citing an April 2026 World Bank report.

The department also flagged corruption as a systemic barrier, describing Nigeria’s trade regime as “somewhat protectionist” with high tariffs and import restrictions.

“Nigeria’s regulatory environment has transitioned toward a ‘structural reset’ designed to improve predictability, though implementation remains uneven,” it added.